Real Estate 2030
Scenario-based Portfolio Management
Now more than ever before, the real estate sector is being subject to transformation due to the dynamics of digitalization and social change. Customer preferences and real estate requirements are changing rapidly, market boundaries are shifting and the industry is merging into an ecosystem of services. Consequently, it is becoming increasingly complex to assess the future robustness of real estate and financial projects.
Together with UNITY, the ERSTE Bank der oesterreichischen Sparkassen AG has developed scenario-based portfolio management as a response to these challenges.
An interdisciplinary team analyzed the relevant factors from various areas of influence such as technology, economy and society, etc. Alternative projections were developed for the drivers of change in Austria's real estate landscape in 2030. UNITY mapped these into three consistent future scenarios using system support. This approach allowed UNITY to take a completely new perspective and synchronize management perspectives. Based on this, various tools were developed that provide Erste Bank with additional flexibility so that it can identify trends at an early stage and shape the future proactively. At the same time, this approach offers the opportunity to analyze segments for their future robustness and steer them accordingly.
Future Scenarios: Real Estate Ecosystem 2030
Environmental Scanning: Identify market changes early
Real Estate Bench-marking: Evaluate future robustness of real estate
“Together with UNITY, we have developed an integrated mechanism that has systematized the assessment of the future robustness of financing projects. The innovative way of working and the consistent involvement of various areas of specialization were of particular importance to us.”
Dr. Ilinka Kajgana
Head of Strategic Risk Management
Executive Board Member
Managing Director UNITY Austria GmbH
Dr. Ulrich Deppe
Partner, Head of Consulting
Dennis R. Schmidt
Partner, Senior Team Leader